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NFL Conference Championship Weekend

AustinDJordan's picture
Okay, so my NFL Playoff Picks this season have gone nothing like last year's 11-1 Playoff Pick Record using Vegas Odds. I started off with a solid 3-1-1 pick record using Vegas Odds on Wild Card Weekend, but despite picking all four winners of each game last week, my picks were a terrible 1-3 using Vegas Odds. So, I'm hoping to "right the ship" so to speak starting this week. With that in mind, here are my AFC and NFC Conference Championship Game Picks using Vegas Odds.

New England Patriots at Denver Broncos (3 pm ET CBS): The main story line as always when a Peyton Manning team goes against Tom Brady and the Patiots is Tom Brady vs Peyton Manning and who's better. One would think the mainstream media could come up with a more inventive story line than the one they always do. For instance, time of possession in this game. The Broncos have proven they can be beaten by a team that runs the ball and controls the clock, exactly what I see the Patriots doing in this game. After all, the best way to beat Peyton Manning and the high powered Broncos Offense is to make them sit on the bench by eating up time of possession with a solid rushing attack. The Patriots enter this game with arguably the hottest rushing attack in the NFL. LeGarrette Blount, Stevan Ridley, and Shane Vereen can all three get the job done and will have to for this game to play out the way I envision it doing so. At the same time, the Patriots have proven they can be run on, but Knowshon Moreno is averaging a lowly 49.8 rushing yards per game on only 3.9 yards per carry since Week 13.

Tom Brady has been ill this week which bothers me on some level, but he is a "gamer" so I wouldn't expect it to affect his game. Peyton Manning and Eric Decker should both bounce back from their last performances. Even if the Patriots control the time of possession with a short quick passing game and a stellar rushing attack, this game should come down to the wire. Regardless of the outcome, NFL Fans should be the real winners of this game because it should be one for the ages especially considering it will showcase two of the greatest QB's of this generation.

I pick the Patriots +5 and think the final score will be 27-24 Patriots.

San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks (6:30 pm ET FOX): The first thing I have to say here is that I am sick of hearing all these so-called "NFL Experts" on TV tell everyone the biggest issue the Seahawks have in this game is Russell Wilson's inexperience. News Flash: Wilson has started 35 games in the NFL compared to Colin Kaepernick starting 28 games. Technically, Russell Wilson has more experience than Colin Kaepernick by almost half of an NFL Season despite only being in the league for two years. Just because someone played in the NFL or was at the right place at the right time does not make them an "Expert," but it does make the Former NFL Player much, much more knowledgeable about the game than most people.

Everything says the Seahawks are virtually unbeatable at home, and Russell Wilson should bounce back from the 50% completion percentage 103 yard passing game from last week. However, I do not expect to see another 143 yard 2 TD game from Marshawn Lynch this week. Colin Kaepernick, Frank Gore, Michael Crabtree, and Vernon Davis should all have bounce back from less than stellar games for them as individuals this week, and I fully expect Gore to score at least one TD. Everyone knows that both of these teams have great defenses as a whole; therefore, this game should come down to which offense makes more big plays. Since more players are due to perform for the 49ers, I think their offense will make more big plays.

I pick the 49ers +3.5 and think the final score will be 24-20 49ers.

So, if my picks are right, we will have a San Francisco 49ers at New England Patriots Super Bowl at 7:30 pm ET on NBC on Sunday, February 2nd at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, NJ, 207 miles away from Gillette Stadium and 2,910 miles away from Candlestick Park.

Thank you for reading my opinions on NFL Conference Championship Weekend and I hope you will connect with me using my links below.

Austin D. Jordan
Founder of NFLVR
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